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Dynamic Modeling of Diseases and Pests (Modeling Dynamic Systems) de Bruce Hannon,Matthias Ruth
Descripción - Críticas From the reviews:“The authors have written several textbooks that became classical in modeling dynamic systems, comprising various subjects and disciplines. Now they bring an exceptional work specially dedicated to diseases and pests. It is a book that can be very useful for beginners and intermediate or advanced modelers.” (Ruben La Rossa, Integrated Pest Management Bulletin, December, 2010) Reseña del editor The ease of use of the programs in the application to ever more complex cases of disease and pestilence. The lack of need on the part of the student or modelers of mathematics beyond algebra and the lack of need of any prior computer programming experience. The surprising insights that can be gained from initially simple systems models. Contraportada Models help us understand the nonlinear dynamics of real-world processes by using the computer to mimic the actual forces that result in a system’s behavior. The growing complexity of human social systems, from individual behavior to that of entire populations makes us increasingly vulnerable to diseases and pests. The ecology of the disease agents and the pests when considered in this social context only adds to the complexity. The feedbacks, lags in the effects of our preventive actions and the randomness in the environment make understanding of these vulnerabilities seem insurmountable. The amount and pace of modern travel provides virus and pest alike with the means to quickly find new hosts in untouched human populations and the ecosystems. We thus have compelling reasons to understand the dynamics of these combined systems. This book begins with simple examples of human epidemics and then insect dynamics. Next comes the models of ever more complex models of disease carried by interaction of the two. An invasive species model is followed by insect-ecosystem interactions. The general models of chaos and catastrophe are linked to models of disease and pest. The final model is a spatial dynamic spread of disease among a wild animal population. By using the STELLA programs (runtime versions and digital forms of all models are available with the book) we show how with a minimum of mathematical preparation and programming experience, these complex processes can be simulated and their emergent properties discovered. The programs run on both Macintosh and PC based machines. Biografía del autor Bruce Hannon is Jubilee professor of the College of Liberal Arts and Sciences and is associated with the departments of Geography, Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Epidemiology and Preventive Medicine and Bioengineering and the National Center for Super Computing Applications and the Illinois Natural History Survey.Matthias Ruth is Roy F. Weston Chair in Natural Economics, founding Director of the Center for Integrative Environmental Research at the Division of Research, Director of the Environmental Policy Program at the School of Public Policy, and founding Co-Director of the Engineering and Public Policy Program at the University of Maryland.
Detalles del Libro
- Name: Dynamic Modeling of Diseases and Pests (Modeling Dynamic Systems)
- Autor: Bruce Hannon,Matthias Ruth
- Categoria: Libros,Libros universitarios y de estudios superiores,Medicina y ciencias de la salud
- Tamaño del archivo: 7 MB
- Tipos de archivo: PDF Document
- Descargada: 456 times
- Idioma: Español
- Archivos de estado: AVAILABLE
Descargar Dynamic Modeling of Diseases and Pests (Modeling Dynamic Systems) de Bruce Hannon,Matthias Ruth Libros Gratis en EPUB
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